{"id":15893,"date":"2026-09-08T00:02:56","date_gmt":"2026-09-08T00:02:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/tradinginsightsdaily.com\/index.php\/2026\/09\/08\/why-investors-see-more-upside-for-sandisks-500-rally\/"},"modified":"2026-09-08T00:02:56","modified_gmt":"2026-09-08T00:02:56","slug":"why-investors-see-more-upside-for-sandisks-500-rally","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/tradinginsightsdaily.com\/index.php\/2026\/09\/08\/why-investors-see-more-upside-for-sandisks-500-rally\/","title":{"rendered":"Why investors see more upside for SanDisk&#8217;s 500% rally"},"content":{"rendered":"<div><\/div>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">SanDisk stock SNDK has gained 500% this year so far. While the memory market has been notoriously cyclical, SanDisk is attempting to reduce its exposure to the traditionally cyclical NAND memory market through a new long-term agreement business model. <\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Under these agreements, the company commits to delivering specified volumes of products over multiple years, while customers commit to purchasing those volumes. <\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Pricing can include fixed and variable components, with financial guarantees providing additional protection if customers fail to meet contractual obligations.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">According to the company\u2019s fiscal 2026 10-K, SanDisk expects these new business models, or NBMs, to become its predominant way of doing business. <\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The company said the structure should improve revenue predictability, production planning and supply assurance, although it does not eliminate risks related to demand, market conditions or execution.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">SanDisk has signed multi-year agreements with eight data-center customers, including three US hyperscalers. <\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The agreements have a minimum total contract value of $93.9 billion. <\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">They are expected to cover 50% of the company\u2019s bit shipments in fiscal 2027 and 67% in fiscal 2028.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The company\u2019s CFO Luis Visoso said the agreements include pricing floors and ceilings, with floor pricing supporting gross margins of around 80%. <\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The contracts therefore provide SanDisk with greater visibility into both future volumes and profitability.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Kioxia joint venture supports capital efficiency<\/h2>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">SanDisk also benefits from its long-standing manufacturing partnership with Kioxia Holdings. <\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The companies have extended their joint venture framework at Kioxia\u2019s Yokkaichi plant in Japan through December 2034.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The partnership, which has operated for more than 25 years, allows the companies to jointly develop technologies and manufacture flash-based memory wafers. <\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Their combined manufacturing footprint accounts for 33% of global wafer production.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The company has attributed its capital efficiency to research and development innovation and the reuse of manufacturing tools. <\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This structure could help SanDisk manage the capital requirements associated with expanding memory production while sharing manufacturing resources with Kioxia.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">High-bandwidth flash adds potential AI upside<\/h2>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">SanDisk is also pursuing opportunities tied to artificial intelligence through high-bandwidth flash, or HBF. <\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The company and SK hynix jointly established the HBF standard to address memory-capacity constraints associated with high-bandwidth memory.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">According to SanDisk\u2019s investor presentation, HBF can provide eight to 16 times higher memory capacity at a given bandwidth. The technology is particularly aimed at high-context AI inference workloads.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">SanDisk has completed the design of its first HBF chip and remains on track for a launch in 2027, followed by mass production in 2028. <\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The technology has received support from major cloud and AI companies, including Alphabet, Meta Platforms and Tenstorrent. Nvidia adoption remains pending.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Importantly, the potential contribution from HBF is not included in SanDisk\u2019s current fiscal 2028 to fiscal 2030 projections, which target a mid-to-high-teens revenue compound annual growth rate.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">From a valuation perspective, SanDisk trades at a higher forward EV\/EBITDA multiple than its memory semiconductor peers. <\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The company\u2019s one-year forward multiple is cited at 6.3 times, compared with a peer average of 4.1 times.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Lynx Research has also issued bullish price targets, setting a $2,450 target for SanDisk and $1,325 for Micron. <\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The firm argued that the extreme volatility seen in May and June had eased, with institutional buying becoming more deliberate.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Overall, SanDisk\u2019s long-term contracts, manufacturing partnership with Kioxia and potential HBF opportunity provide several factors investors are watching as the company seeks to balance memory-market cyclicality with rising AI-related demand.<\/p>\n<p>The post <a href=\"https:\/\/invezz.com\/news\/2026\/09\/07\/why-investors-see-more-upside-for-sandisks-500-rally\/\">Why investors see more upside for SanDisk&#039;s 500% rally<\/a> appeared first on <a href=\"https:\/\/invezz.com\">Invezz<\/a><\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>SanDisk stock SNDK has gained 500% this year so far. While the memory market has been notoriously cyclical, SanDisk is attempting to reduce its exposure to the traditionally cyclical NAND memory market through a new long-term agreement business model. Under these agreements, the company commits to delivering specified volumes of products over multiple years, while <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":15894,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[26],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-15893","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-stocks"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/tradinginsightsdaily.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15893","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/tradinginsightsdaily.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/tradinginsightsdaily.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tradinginsightsdaily.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tradinginsightsdaily.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=15893"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/tradinginsightsdaily.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15893\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tradinginsightsdaily.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/15894"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/tradinginsightsdaily.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=15893"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tradinginsightsdaily.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=15893"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tradinginsightsdaily.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=15893"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}